A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System

07.08.2017

Englisch

9783319571553

Springer International Publishing

Nein

Michael Brecher

419

Gebundene Ausgabe

Theory and Evidence: Intellectual Odyssey III

international relations, case studies, theory, leadership, conflict, crisis management, charismatic leaders, escalation, IR

GTU - Friedens- und Konfliktforschung JPB - Vergleichende Politikwissenschaften JPA - Politikwissenschaft JPA - Politikwissenschaft NHT - Geschichte: Ereignisse und Themen JPS - Internationale Beziehungen

1. Multiple Paths to KnowledgeA. INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEWOrigins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies – Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate AnalysisB. MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICTAdvocates and CriticsRationaleDiversity in International StudiesC. INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS  Phases and Themes Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I) Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II) Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III)      Concepts            Subordinate State System Foreign Policy System International System Foreign Policy Crisis International Crisis Unified Model of Crisis Crisis Severity Crisis Impact Protracted Conflict Polycentrism2. Theory I: Core Concepts and SystemsA. CORE CONCEPTSInternational Crisis and Protracted ConflictSeverity and ImpactB. SYSTEM AND CRISISInternational SystemSystemic CrisisBerlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB FrameworkA. UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISISConceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-EscalationImpact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on ImpactB. CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURERecent Additions to Crisis-Conflict ProjectOverview of Findings       4. General Findings: Foreign Policy CrisesDataset: 29 CasesContext Dimensions Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved DebateGeneral Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises:                                      Trigger                                      Triggering Entity                                      Duration                                      Decisions                                      Decision-Makers                                           Attitudinal Prism                                      Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management                                      Information Processing                                      Consultation                                      Decisional Forum                                      Search for, and Consideration of, AlternativesFindings on System Structures                                      Multipolarity                                       Bipolarity                                       Bipolycentrism                                      UnipolycentrismCoping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom                                                                              Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress                                Cognitive Dimension                                 Decisional Dimension                                Shared Response to Stress Explanation – Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises5. Theory III: Interstate ConflictsConflict Resolution Model           Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution                                    Collective Exhaustion                                    Changes in Balance of Capability                                     Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution                                      External Pressures for Conflict Resolution                                      Reduction in Discordant Objectives                                                              Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining ActsPerceptual CalculusCatalystHypotheses on Conflict Resolution6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and AmericasA. AFRICAChad/Libya Ethiopia/SomaliaWestern Sahara B. AMERICASCosta Rica/Nicaragua7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: AsiaAfghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle EastA. EUROPEFinland/Russia-USSRPoland/Russia-USSRB. MIDDLE EAST     Iran/Iraq9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-RegionGeorgia/Russia-USSRInter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution11. Critique of International StudiesA. SHORTCOMINGSIntolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings  Closed-Mind MentalityTendency to Research Fashions                                                                                                                                                                                   Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WPLow Value placed on Cumulation of KnowledgeB. FLAWED DICHOTOMIESTheory vs. History as Approaches to KnowledgeDeductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large ‘N’ vs. Small ‘N’ clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior)  Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics                      C. FINAL WORDS

210 mm

14.8 cm